Projected Starters
                    PPG
Tennessee 17-13 (9-6 SEC)
G Skylar McBee            7.0
G Trae Golden            13.1
G Cameron Tatum            7.8
F Jeronne Maymon        12.0
F Jarnell Stokes            6.2

Vanderbilt 21-9 (10-5 SEC)
G Brad Tinsley            8.8
G John Jenkins            20.1
F Jeffery Taylor            17.4
F Lance Gouldbourne        8.8
C Festus Ezeli            10.4

How They Match Up
UT            VU
69.0    Score O    74.0
65.2    Score D    66.1
44.7    FG %        46.5
36.5    3-Pt %    40.2
69.8    FT %        70.7
+3.2    Reb. Mar.    +3.2
4.3    BPG        4.3
13.0    APG        13.1
5.7    SPG        5.9
-2.0    T/O Mar.    -0.73

Last Year:
Jan. 15, 2011 in Knoxville - Tennessee 67-64

Feb. 22, 2011 in Nashville - Tennessee 60-51

Why the Vols will win: It’s really simple for Tennessee: this is a must-win if it wants to get in the NCAA Tournament as an at-large bid. Not that a win would ensure that, but losing at home would likely ensure just the opposite, especially with a surplus of teams in The Bubble this season. The Vols have won seven of eight games (also nine of 12), and seem to have found their stride, even if it hasn’t been pretty at times. UT is currently tied with Alabama for fourth in the conference, and along with Vandy and Florida, are vying for a top-four conference finish, which rewards in a first-round bye in the SEC Tournament. Kentucky has already clinched the regular season title and the No. 1 seed, but the remaining top seeds will be decided on Saturday. With a UT win and a Kentucky victory over the Gators, Tennessee would finish second after being picked 11th in the preseason. A UT loss ensures a fifth-place finish, forcing the Vols to play in the first round next Thursday. Tennessee’s capable of the win, especially at home. This game will all be about pride for UT.

Why the Commodores will win: Guard John Jenkins and forward Jeffery Taylor are the SEC’s two top scorers, averaging 20.1 and 17.4 points a game, respectively. Each is also shooting nearly 47 percent from beyond the arc. Vandy has won four conference road games this season, and solid shooting has been a part of it. The Commodores have won four of five, including upsetting Florida at home on Tuesday. Good perimeter shooting and taking away rebound chances for Jeronne Maymon and Jarnell Stokes will be key for Vanderbilt to win.